Delhi 2025 Exit Poll Results: BJP Could Make a Historic Comeback, AAP Faces Tough Road to Majority
Exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections suggest the BJP is on the verge of making a dramatic return to power after a 27-year hiatus, while the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to fall short of a clear majority. With a total of 70 seats in the Delhi Assembly, the majority mark is set at 36, and the exit polls indicate a potential shift in political dynamics in the capital.
Here’s a breakdown of the predictions from various exit polls:
| Exit Poll | BJP (Likely Seats) | AAP (Likely Seats) | Congress (Likely Seats) |
| Chanakya Strategies | 39-44 | 25-28 | 2-3 |
| Matrize | 35-40 | 32-37 | 0-1 |
| P-Marq | 39-44 | 21-31 | 0-1 |
| People’s Pulse | 51-60 | 10-18 | 0-1 |
| People’s Insight | 40-44 | 25-28 | 0-1 |
| Poll Diary | 42-50 | 18-25 | 0-2 |
| JVC | 39-45 | 22-31 | 0-2 |
The exit polls suggest that the BJP could secure between 39 to 60 seats, with several agencies predicting a clear advantage for the saffron party. On the other hand, AAP, which has ruled Delhi since 2015, is expected to get anywhere from 18 to 37 seats. Congress is largely predicted to remain a minor player, with most exit polls showing it winning no more than 3 seats.
While BJP’s comeback has been predicted in the majority of the exit polls, AAP has remained optimistic. Party leaders, including Sushil Gupta, have expressed confidence that the AAP will form the government once the final results are announced. "Arvind Kejriwal has worked tirelessly for the people of Delhi, and we will see the results in our favor," Gupta told ANI. An AAP spokesperson also insisted the party would return with a resounding majority.
Historically, exit polls have had varied accuracy in Delhi’s elections. In 2013, they correctly predicted a hung assembly, although they underestimated AAP’s surge. In the 2015 and 2020 elections, while the polls did foresee AAP's victory, they failed to gauge the full extent of the party’s success. In 2015, for example, exit polls projected AAP winning 45 seats, while it ultimately secured 67. However, predictions improved by 2020, with polls accurately predicting AAP’s 62-seat win.
The BJP is now eyeing a long-awaited return to power in Delhi, aiming to break AAP’s grip on the city. In contrast, the Congress is facing a continuing struggle to regain its former dominance in the capital.
Turnout and Voter Sentiment The 2020 Delhi assembly election saw a voter turnout of 62.82%, a drop from 67.47% in 2015, suggesting a shift in voter sentiment this time around.
Stay tuned for live updates as the results are announced in the coming days. The battle for Delhi’s future remains tightly contested, with key stakes for both the BJP and AAP.